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In an attempt to improve highway safety, Prunty County last year lowered its speed limit from 55 to45 miles per hour on all county highways. But this effort has failed: the number of accidents has not decreased, and, based on reports by the highway patrol, many drivers are exceeding the speed limit. Prunty County should instead undertake the same kind of road improvement project that Butler County completed five years ago: increasing lane widths, resurfacing rough highways, and improving visibility at dangerous intersections. Today, major Butler County roads still have a 55 mph speed limit, yet there were 25 percent fewer reported accidents in Butler County this past year than there were five years ago.
题目要求
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
题目翻译
为提高高速公路的安全性，Prunty County最近把镇上所有主要路段的最高限速从55mph降到了45。但我们应该回复到55mph的限速，因为这种保障安全的努力已经失败了。多数司机都超过了新的限速，而且Prunty County全镇的事故率仅有微量下降。如果我们要提高公路安全性，我们应该采取Butler County在5年前完成的同样的道路改计划：增加车道宽度和重新铺装不平整路面。现在，Butler County的主要道路仍然使用55mph限速，而那里近年间上报的事故发生率比五年前减少了25%。
题目分析
1. 作者没有提供足够的信息说明Prunty County的减速政策失败了：时间太短。
2. 其次，没有提供足够的证据证明Butler County的政策是成功的：25%的数字不准，即便是少了，不一定是因为拓宽马路和平整路面的结果。
3. 作者还忽略了其它因素：首先，Butler County的情况是否和Prunty County一样;其次，ButlerCountry花费在拓宽马路和平整路面上的钱要多少。
提纲分享
1. 超速多不说明限速失败，应该看平均速度是不是比以前低。未必恢复55，45和55是否是唯一的两个选择。
2. report报道。与媒体意愿有关。
3. A.B.S.导致事故减少。
4. 样本差异。
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