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The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of Brindleburg to the city council.
"Two years ago, the town of Seaside Vista opened a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. Since then, the Seaside Vista Tourism Board has reported a 20% increase in visitors. In addition, local banks reported a steep rise in the number of new business loan applications they received this year. The amount of tax money collected by Seaside Vista has also increased, allowing the town to announce plans to improve Seaside Vista's roads and bridges. We recommend building a similar golf course and resort hotel in Brindleburg. We predict that this project will generate additional tax revenue that the city can use to fund much-needed public improvements."
下面这段文字出自Brindleburg市长写给市议会的备忘录。
两年前Seaside Vista镇建造了一个新的市立高尔夫球场和度假旅馆。从那以后，Seaside Vista旅游委员会报告显示游客人数增加了20%。另外，当地银行今年的新增贷款金额陡增。Seaside Vista的税收也随之增加，这使得镇里宣布了改善公路和桥梁的计划。我们建议Brindleburg也建造类似的高尔夫球场和度假旅馆。我们预计这将产生额外的税收，这些钱可以用于急需改善的公共设施。
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
170. The following appeared in a memo from the vice president of a company that builds shopping malls around the country.
"The surface of a section of Route 101, paved just two years ago by Good Intentions Roadways, is now badly cracked with a number of dangerous potholes. In another part of the state, a section of Route 40, paved by Appian Roadways more than four years ago, is still in good condition. In a demonstration of their continuing commitment to quality, Appian Roadways recently purchased state-of-the-art paving machinery and hired a new quality-control manager. Therefore, I recommend hiring Appian Roadways to construct the access roads for all our new shopping malls. I predict that our Appian access roads will not have to be repaired for at least four years."
下面这段文字出自一家建造购物中心的公司副总裁的备忘录。
两年前由Good Intentions Roadways筑路公司修筑的101公路的一段，表面现已严重开裂，并存在危险的坑洼。在同一州的另一个地区，四年多以前由Appian筑路公司修筑的40公路的一段现在依然状况良好。处于对质量的不断追求，Appian公司最近购买了最先进的筑路机械，并雇佣了一名新的质量监控经理。因此我建议让Appian Roadways来修筑我们新商业街前面的全部路通道。我认为Appian修的通道至少四年内不用重修。
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
171. The following appeared as a letter to the editor from the owner of a skate shop in Central Plaza.
"Two years ago the city voted to prohibit skateboarding in Central Plaza. They claimed that skateboard users were responsible for the litter and vandalism that were keeping other visitors from coming to the plaza. In the past two years, however, there has only been a small increase in the number of visitors to Central Plaza, and litter and vandalism are still problematic. Skateboarding is permitted in Monroe Park, however, and there is no problem with litter or vandalism there. In order to restore Central Plaza to its former glory, then, we recommend that the city lift its prohibition on skateboarding in the plaza."
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两年前，。他们认为玩滑板的人制造垃圾并损坏公物，这使得其他游客不愿再来广场。然而，在过去的两年中，，并且乱扔垃圾和损坏公物的现象依旧是个问题。Monroe Park允许玩滑板，但是那里却没有乱扔垃圾和损坏公物的问题。，我们建议市政府对在广场玩滑板解禁。
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
