The following appeared in a recommendation from the President of the Amburg Chamber of Commerce.
"Last October, the city of Belleville installed high-intensity lighting in its central business district, and vandalism there declined almost immediately. The city of Amburg, on the other hand, recently instituted police patrols on bicycles in its business district. However, the rate of vandalism here remains constant. Since high-intensity lighting is clearly the most effective way to combat crime, we recommend using the money that is currently being spent on bicycle patrols to install such lighting throughout Amburg. If we install this high-intensity lighting, we will significantly reduce crime rates in Amburg."
下面这段文字是Amburg Chamber of Commerce总裁的建议。
，那里破坏公物的行为几乎立即减少。，但破坏公物的发生率并没有变化。由于高强度照明灯显然是震慑犯罪的最有效途径，我们建议把用于自行车巡逻的费用用于在全市安装这种照明灯。如果我们安装了这种高强度照明灯，Amburg市的犯罪率将大幅降低。
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
161. The following is a recommendation from the personnel director to the president of Acme Publishing Company.
"Many other companies have recently stated that having their employees take the Easy Read Speed-Reading Course has greatly improved productivity. One graduate of the course was able to read a 500-page report in only two hours; another graduate rose from an assistant manager to vice president of the company in under a year. Obviously, the faster you can read, the more information you can absorb in a single workday. Moreover, Easy Read would cost Acme only $500 per employee—a small price to pay when you consider the benefits. Included in this fee is a three-week seminar in Spruce City and a lifelong subscription to the Easy Read newsletter. Clearly, Acme would benefit greatly by requiring all of our employees to take the Easy Read course."
下面是Acme Publishing Company人力资源经理写给总裁的建议。
很多其他公司最近指出他们的员工参加了Easy Read的速读课程之后生产效率显著提高。这个课程的一名毕业生能够在两个小时之内读完长达500页的报告，另一名毕业生在一年内从助理经理升到了副总裁。显然，你的阅读速度越快，在一天之内所能吸收的信息量就越大。而且，Easy Read的学费只有每人500元，相对于它给Acme带来的效益是个小数目。这个费用包括在Spruce City举行的为期三周的研讨会和Easy Read新闻刊物的终生赠阅。显然，要求所有员工参加Easy Read的课程，Acme将会受益匪浅。
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
162. The following appeared in a memo from a budget planner for the city of Grandview.
"It is time for the city of Grandview to stop funding the Grandview Symphony Orchestra. It is true that the symphony struggled financially for many years, but last year private contributions to the symphony increased by 200 percent and attendance at the symphony's concerts-in-the-park series doubled. In addition, the symphony has just announced an increase in ticket prices for next year. For these reasons, we recommend that the city eliminate funding for the Grandview Symphony Orchestra from next year's budget. We predict that the symphony will flourish in the years to come even without funding from the city."
下面这段文字出自Grandview市预算规划部门的备忘录。
现在是时候Grandview市停止对Grandview交响乐队的资助了。这个乐队的确在前些年财务比较紧张，但是去年私人捐助的数额增加了200%，公园系列音乐会的观众也翻了一番。另外，乐队刚刚宣布明年年票涨价。基于以上原因，我们建议政府明年的预算中停止对乐队的资助。我们认为即使没有政府资助，乐队在接下来的几年中仍将发展兴旺。
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
